probability of a win

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Joined: Sat Sep 15, 2012 1:59 pm

probability of a win

Postby Johnicholas » Sat Sep 15, 2012 2:20 pm

Suppose that you were a odds-maker, deciding what odds to give that a saved game will be won, assuming a competent player plays it out. (And I am not a competent player; that's why I'm asking.) You glance at it and the situation looks okay, nothing weird like being on fire or about to run out of oxygen. Suppose further that you need to give your odds quickly, after looking at only a few numbers.

What numbers would be most critical to look at? Maybe Sector, Hull, Date, Lifetime scrap acquired - assuming that scrap is either still available or spent on something useful, Current number of crew members and/or number of deaths?

Are there facts like "cloak acquired" that are more critical to know than a number?
Posts: 519
Joined: Thu Apr 26, 2012 2:06 am

Re: probability of a win

Postby Gorlom » Sat Sep 15, 2012 3:26 pm

Sector, scraps, how you have upgraded your systems, which additional systems you have acquired, weapons, drones.
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Joined: Sat Sep 15, 2012 12:16 pm

Re: probability of a win

Postby easygamer » Sat Sep 15, 2012 5:45 pm

you need a good ship ok upgrades and anti crew stuff leave one guy alive or everything auto repairs

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